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Süper Lig
Referee: Serkan Tokat
1–2
Full-time
Sivasspor
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Sivasspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
14 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Erzurumspor 9. · Sivasspor 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Goztep 2 1 1 0 +4 4
3 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Antalyaspor 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Karagumruk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Galatasaray 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Hatayspor 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Fenerbahce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Erzurumspor 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Kayserispor 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Konyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Trabzonspor 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Genclerbirligi 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Denizlispor 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Rizespor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Ankaragücü 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Kasimpasa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Gaziantep 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Sivasspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
21 Buyuksehyr 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Erzurumspor Sivasspor
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 I. Cofie
↦ C. Ninga
1–0 A. Novikovas
E. Başsan
70′
75′
🔁 A. Koné
↦ Y. Öztekin
75′
🔁 Jorge Félix
↦ F. Fajr
Ö. Şişmanoğlu 🔁
↦ R. Muhammed
77′
M. Albayrak 🔁
↦ K. Kanak
81′
82′
A. Koné 1–1
E. Yeşilyurt
86′
M. Gradel 1–2
H. Arslan
J. Hamroun 🔁
↦ E. Başsan
90′
I. Sissoko 🔁
↦ G. Obertan
90′
95′
🔁 U. Çiftçi
↦ M. Gradel
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Erzurumspor

4-1-4-1
85 F. Farnolle G
30 A. Teikeu D
6 K. Kanak D
99 C. Alkılıç D
5 H. Hatipoğlu D
4 G. Obertan M
11 A. Novikovas M
17 E. Başsan M
13 P. Boumal M
19 İ. Akdağ M
9 R. Muhammed F
Bench (10)
7 Ö. Şişmanoğlu
53 M. Albayrak
10 J. Hamroun
3 I. Sissoko
88 O. Çelik
28 A. Mina
20 M. Donald
12 M. Ba
33 K. Erdoğan
72 M. Gönülaçar

Coach: M. Özdilek

Sivasspor

4-2-3-1
30 M. Samassa G
88 C. Osmanpaşa D
58 Z. Erdal D
14 S. Camara D
37 H. Arslan M
10 Y. Öztekin M
76 F. Fajr M
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
9 M. Yatabaré F
7 M. Gradel M
29 C. Ninga M
Bench (10)
5 I. Cofie
2 A. Koné
11 Jorge Félix
3 U. Çiftçi
26 B. Yardımcı
35 A. Vural
6 Claudemir
8 R. Yalçın
25 M. Yıldırım
20 K. Kesgin

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
3,16
B ✓
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Serkan Tokat · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.