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Super League
Referee: F San
Basel
U S U U U
2–2
Full-time
Vaduz
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Vaduz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,5
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Basel Vaduz
1–0 Arthur Cabral ⚽
Afimico Pululu
6′
29′
⚽ M. Sutter 1–1
N. Milinceanu
2–1 V. Stocker ⚽
Afimico Pululu
38′
39′
🟨 Sandro Wieser
Omar Alderete 🟨
40′
Half-time 2–1
Fabian Frei 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 N. Hug
↦ J. Schmied
67′
🔁 S. Santin
↦ P. Dorn
67′
🔁 M. Gajić
↦ S. Wieser
J. van der Werff 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
77′
J. von Moos 🔁
↦ Afimico Pululu
77′
77′
🔁 M. Di Giusto
↦ T. Çiçek
78′
⚽ N. Milinceanu 2–2
B. Prokopič
T. Tushi 🔁
↦ S. Campo
84′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-4-2
1 Đ. Nikolić G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
4 E. Cömert D
72 A. Padula D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
10 S. Campo M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
98 Arthur Cabral F
11 Afimico Pululu M
Bench (7)
21 J. van der Werff
18 J. von Moos
24 T. Tushi
13 H. Lindner
15 B. Riveros
26 A. Kalulu
22 O. Bunjaku

Coach: C. Sforza

Vaduz

3-4-1-2
1 B. Büchel G
4 D. Simani D
21 P. Dorn M
15 Y. Schmid D
24 C. Gasser M
5 J. Schmied D
28 B. Prokopič M
23 S. Wieser M
9 M. Sutter F
11 T. Çiçek F
8 N. Milinceanu F
Bench (7)
22 N. Hug
29 S. Santin
14 M. Gajić
7 M. Di Giusto
33 M. Göppel
18 J. Ospelt
19 D. Đokić

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F San · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.