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Pro League

Referee: Luc Wouters

Genk

S S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Mechelen

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 11

12 Shots on target 8

7 Goalkeeper saves 10

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 9. · Mechelen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Standard	9	4	3	2	+6	15
3	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Kortrijk	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Gent	5	4	1	0	+7	13
6	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Mechelen	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+3	11
9	Genk	8	3	1	4	-3	10
10	Lokeren	9	3	1	5	-4	10
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	3	0	6	-5	9
12	St Truiden	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Oostende	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Westerlo	9	2	1	6	-10	7
15	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-11	7
16	Beveren	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Kortrijk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Standard	5	3	1	1	+6	10
4	Waregem	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Lokeren	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	St Truiden	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Oostende	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Genk	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Beveren	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Mechelen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Standard	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Kortrijk	5	1	1	3	-5	4
9	Genk	4	1	0	3	-3	3
10	Eupen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
11	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-7	3
12	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Lokeren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Beveren	5	0	1	4	-6	1
15	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-6	1
16	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.