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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Estoril
U U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Famalicao
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Apr -22 Famalicao – Estoril 3–1 17. Dec -21 Estoril – Famalicao 2–2

Match report

Estoril Famalicao
1–0 Francisco Geraldes ⚽
20′
Francisco Geraldes 🟨
39′
2–0 Arthur Gomes ⚽
Tiago Gouveia
45′
Half-time 2–0
65′
🔁 J. Cádiz
↦ André Simões
65′
🔁 S. Colombatto
↦ Rui Fonte
Rodrigo Martins 🔁
↦ Arthur Gomes
66′
Bernardo Vital 🟨
70′
Gilson Benchimol 🔁
↦ João Carlos
76′
76′
🔁 Pedro Brazão
↦ Gustavo Assunção
76′
🔁 Z. Youssouf
↦ Rúben Lima
J. Léa Siliki 🔁
↦ Francisco Geraldes
81′
Tiago Araújo 🔁
↦ Tiago Gouveia
82′
Volnei Feltes 🔁
↦ Pedro Álvaro
82′
82′
🔁 H. De La Fuente
↦ Martín Aguirregabiria
Gonçalo Esteves 🟨
95′
97′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
Joãozinho 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Estoril

4-2-3-1
99 Daniel Figueira G
87 Gonçalo Esteves D
23 Pedro Álvaro D
3 Bernardo Vital D
31 Joãozinho D
25 M. Ndiaye M
32 L. Rosier M
21 Tiago Gouveia M
10 Francisco Geraldes M
11 Arthur Gomes M
50 João Carlos F
Bench (9)
7 Rodrigo Martins
29 Gilson Benchimol
95 J. Léa Siliki
78 Tiago Araújo
5 Volnei Feltes
8 Serginho
17 E. Achouri
47 João Oliveira
22 T. Thomas

Coach: Nelson Veríssimo

Famalicao

4-4-2
31 Luíz Júnior G
32 Martín Aguirregabiria D
21 D. Batubinsika D
6 Alexandre Penetra D
5 Rúben Lima D
91 Heriberto Tavares M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
8 André Simões M
14 J. Kadile M
17 Rui Fonte F
9 Álex Millán F
Bench (9)
29 J. Cádiz
97 S. Colombatto
11 Pedro Brazão
28 Z. Youssouf
22 H. De La Fuente
1 I. Zlobin
3 O. Beck
95 Théo Fonseca
66 Cláudio Silva

Coach: Rui Pedro Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
🔒
U
3,23
🔒
B
2,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,06
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.