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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Famalicao
T T S U S
0–3
Full-time
Portimonense
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
55%
27%
Both score Ø 46%
73%
18%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 12. · Portimonense 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 11 9 2 0 +21 29
2 Sp Lisbon 11 9 2 0 +13 29
3 Benfica 11 9 1 1 +20 28
4 Estoril 11 5 5 1 +7 20
5 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Portimonense 11 5 2 4 +1 17
7 Guimaraes 11 4 4 3 +3 16
8 Gil Vicente 12 3 5 4 +0 14
9 Tondela 11 4 0 7 -4 12
10 Pacos Ferreira 11 2 5 4 -5 11
11 Boavista 11 2 5 4 -6 11
12 Famalicao 11 2 4 5 -1 10
13 Arouca 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Vizela 11 1 7 3 -7 10
15 Moreirense 12 1 6 5 -8 9
16 Belenenses 11 1 5 5 -8 8
17 Maritimo 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Santa Clara 11 1 3 7 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Portimonense
23′
Alexandre Penetra 1–0
own goal
39′
Carlinhos 1–1
S. Nakajima
Half-time 1–1
Heriberto Tavares 🔁
↦ Iván Jaime
46′
Marcos Paulo 🔁
↦ C. Pickel
46′
David Tavares 🔁
↦ Pedro Brazão
46′
54′
🟨 Iván Angulo
59′
🟨 Willyan Rocha
62′
🟨 Pedro Sá
70′
🔁 Filipe Relvas
↦ I. Angulo
70′
Aylton Boa Morte 1–2
F. Moufi
Ivo Rodrigues 🟨
75′
Bruno Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Ivo Rodrigues
77′
H. De La Fuente 🔁
↦ Adrián Marín
77′
85′
🔁 W. Aponza
↦ S. Nakajima
85′
🔁 G. Imbula
↦ Fabricio
90′
🔁 Ewerton
↦ Carlinhos
90′
🔁 Anderson Oliveira
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Famalicao

4-2-3-1
31 Luiz Júnior G
90 Diogo Figueiras D
5 Adrián Marín D
43 Alexandre Penetra D
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
6 C. Pickel M
10 Iván Jaime M
4 Alex D
7 Ivo Rodrigues M
17 S. Banza F
8 Pedro Brazão M
Bench (9)
91 Heriberto Tavares
9 Marcos Paulo
20 David Tavares
11 Bruno Rodrigues
22 H. De La Fuente
13 Dalberson
19 D. Batubinsika
80 L. Ofori
15 Riccieli

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Portimonense

4-2-3-1
94 Samuel G
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
4 Willyan D
5 Fali Candé D
76 Carlinhos M
21 Pedro Sá M
70 I. Angulo M
9 Fabricio F
10 S. Nakajima M
77 Aylton Boa Morte M
Bench (9)
22 Filipe Relvas
39 W. Aponza
25 G. Imbula
7 Ewerton
11 Anderson Oliveira
20 Luquinhas
99 A. Marcus
1 Ricardo Ferreira
91 Renato Júnior

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,40
B ✓
4,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.