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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Sp Braga

T S T T S

2–1

Full-time

Nacional

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Nacional

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%

20 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 13. · Nacional 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Maritimo	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Nacional	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Gil Vicente	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	+1	3
14	Rio Ave	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
16	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Farense	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nacional	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.