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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Mechelen
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Kortrijk
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 7/10 matches
Win Ø 42%
43%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
70%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 13. · Kortrijk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 9 6 2 1 +9 20
2 Standard 9 6 2 1 +7 20
3 Beerschot VA 9 6 0 3 +0 18
4 Anderlecht 9 4 5 0 +8 17
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 Club Brugge 7 5 0 2 +15 15
7 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Cercle Brugge 9 5 0 4 +4 15
9 Kortrijk 10 4 2 4 +1 14
10 Waregem 10 4 1 5 -4 13
11 Oostende 8 3 3 2 +6 12
12 Genk 8 2 5 1 +0 11
13 Mechelen 7 3 1 3 -2 10
14 Gent 9 3 0 6 -2 9
15 Eupen 8 1 5 2 -4 8
16 St Truiden 8 1 3 4 -7 6
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 8 0 3 5 -9 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 0 3 5 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Kortrijk
Issa Kabore 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Voet
W. Togui
53′
Issa Kabore 🟨
55′
Issa Kabore 🟥
55′
62′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ P. Golubović
N. Storm 🔁
↦ G. Engvall
71′
71′
🔁 Y. Van Den Bossche
↦ E. Ocansey
71′
M. Jonckheere 1–1
G. Dewaele
74′
Y. Makarenko 1–2
K. D'Haene
75′
🟨 Kristof D'Haene
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ W. Togui
83′
M. Shved 🔁
↦ L. Bijker
83′
86′
🔁 H. Van der Bruggen
↦ M. Jonckheere
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
3 L. Bijker D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
14 S. Voet D
29 I. Kaboré D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
19 K. Mrabti M
20 G. Engvall F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
11 N. Storm
10 I. de Camargo
35 M. Shved
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen
4 S. Bateau
88 S. Defour

Coach: W. Vrancken

Kortrijk

4-3-3
1 A. Jakubech G
76 T. Derijck D
5 T. Sainsbury D
30 K. D'Haene D
4 G. Dewaele D
2 P. Golubović D
25 Y. Makarenko M
27 M. Jonckheere M
23 J. De Sart M
7 I. Mboyo F
51 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
11 J. Stojanović
41 Y. Van Den Bossche
14 H. Van der Bruggen
17 H. Guèye
6 L. Rougeaux
15 C. Lepoint
31 M. Ilić

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U
3,54
B ✓
3,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.