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Eredivisie

Referee: C Bax

AZ Alkmaar

S S U U U

2–2

Full-time

VVV Venlo

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar VVV Venlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 88%

100%

75%

Average goals

5,3

3,5

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

2,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

20 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 13. · VVV Venlo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Twente	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Utrecht	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Heracles	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Sparta Rotterdam	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Heracles	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.