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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

U S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 8. · Lech Poznan 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	5	1	1	+10	16
2	Gornik Zabrze	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	Zaglebie	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Cracovia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
6	Lechia Gdansk	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Lech Poznan	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Jagiellonia	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Legia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Wisla Plock	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	Stal Mielec	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Podbeskidzie	6	1	2	3	-8	5
14	Warta Poznan	5	1	1	3	-1	4
15	Wisla	5	0	3	2	-5	3
16	Piast Gliwice	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Cracovia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Lechia Gdansk	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Rakow	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Podbeskidzie	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Stal Mielec	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Jagiellonia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Warta Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Wisla Plock	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Legia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Wisla	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Piast Gliwice	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Legia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Wisla	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Warta Poznan	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Lechia Gdansk	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Cracovia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Stal Mielec	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Piast Gliwice	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Podbeskidzie	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.