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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Tondela

T S S U T

0–4

Full-time

Sp Braga

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 14. · Sp Braga 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Porto	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Nacional	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Sp Braga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.