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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Sampdoria
T U T T S
3–0
Full-time
Lazio
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Lazio 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +11 9
2 Milan 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Atalanta 4 3 0 1 +5 9
4 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Inter 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Verona 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Benevento 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Juventus 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Lazio 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Roma 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Bologna 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Fiorentina 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -3 3
15 Spezia 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Parma 3 1 0 2 -4 3
17 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Udinese 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Lazio
12′
🟨 Marco Parolo
1–0 F. Quagliarella
T. Augello
32′
2–0 T. Augello
41′
Gastón Ramírez 🟨
43′
44′
🟨 Felipe Caicedo
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Marušić
↦ M. Parolo
46′
🔁 M. Fares
↦ D. Anderson
V. Verre 🔁
↦ G. Ramírez
57′
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ A. Ekdal
58′
59′
🔁 D. Vavro
↦ W. Hoedt
59′
🔁 V. Muriqi
↦ F. Caicedo
Morten Thorsby 🟨
64′
M. Damsgaard 🔁
↦ J. Jankto
68′
3–0 M. Damsgaard
V. Verre
74′
75′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ Lucas Leiva
M. Léris 🔁
↦ A. Candreva
79′
K. Baldé 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
79′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
21 L. Tonelli D
3 T. Augello D
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
11 G. Ramírez F
18 M. Thorsby M
14 J. Jankto M
27 F. Quagliarella F
Bench (12)
8 V. Verre
5 Adrien Silva
38 M. Damsgaard
26 M. Léris
10 K. Baldé
34 K. Letica
25 A. Ferrari
19 V. Regini
20 A. La Gumina
15 O. Colley
16 K. Askildsen
30 N. Ravaglia

Coach: C. Ranieri

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric D
8 D. Anderson M
14 W. Hoedt D
6 Lucas Leiva M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto M
11 J. Correa F
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
20 F. Caicedo F
Bench (12)
77 A. Marušić
96 M. Fares
93 D. Vavro
94 V. Muriqi
32 D. Cataldi
25 Pepe Reina
92 J. Akpa Akpro
13 N. Armini
53 S. Czyż
73 M. Novella
71 M. Alia
65 Raul Moro

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,30
U
3,55
B
2,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.