← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: M Di Bello
Napoli
S T S S S
4–1
Full-time
Atalanta
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Napoli Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,2
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
This season — Serie A · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
4,0
6,0
Scored
4,0
4,3
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 11
14 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 5. · Atalanta 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Atalanta 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Milan 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Inter 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +8 6
6 Verona 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Benevento 3 2 0 1 -1 6
8 Juventus 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Lazio 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Roma 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Bologna 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Fiorentina 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -3 3
15 Spezia 3 1 0 2 -4 3
16 Parma 3 1 0 2 -4 3
17 Cagliari 3 0 1 2 -5 1
18 Torino 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Udinese 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Crotone 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Atalanta
1–0 H. Lozano
23′
2–0 H. Lozano
D. Mertens
27′
3–0 M. Politano
Fabián Ruiz
30′
38′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
4–0 V. Osimhen
D. Ospina
43′
45′
🟨 Robin Gosens
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 J. Mojica
↦ D. Zapata
46′
🔁 B. Djimsiti
↦ J. Palomino
55′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ Papu Gómez
F. Ghoulam 🔁
↦ M. Politano
61′
63′
🔁 R. Malinovskyi
↦ J. Iličić
69′
S. Lammers 4–1
C. Romero
K. Malcuit 🔁
↦ T. Bakayoko
75′
S. Lobotka 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
75′
Hirving Lozano 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 Berat Djimsiti
81′
🔁 L. Muriel
↦ R. Gosens
A. Petagna 🔁
↦ V. Osimhen
83′
D. Demme 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
83′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Napoli

4-2-3-1
25 D. Ospina G
44 K. Manolas D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
22 G. Di Lorenzo D
5 T. Bakayoko M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Mertens M
21 M. Politano M
11 H. Lozano M
9 V. Osimhen F
Bench (11)
31 F. Ghoulam
2 K. Malcuit
68 S. Lobotka
37 A. Petagna
4 D. Demme
33 A. Rrahmani
16 N. Contini Baranovsky
6 Mário Rui
18 Llorente
19 N. Maksimović
1 A. Meret

Coach: G. Gattuso

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
57 M. Sportiello G
2 R. Tolói D
6 J. Palomino D
8 R. Gosens M
27 F. Depaoli M
17 C. Romero D
10 Papu Gómez F
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon M
88 M. Pašalić M
91 D. Zapata F
Bench (11)
26 J. Mojica
19 B. Djimsiti
7 S. Lammers
18 R. Malinovskyi
9 L. Muriel
1 B. Radunović
11 R. Freuler
33 H. Hateboer
59 A. Miranchuk
4 B. Šutalo
31 F. Rossi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,78
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.