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Süper Lig
Referee: Abdulkadir Bitigen
Rizespor
T T T U U
5–3
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,2
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
25%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,3
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rizespor 18. · Ankaragücü 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 4 3 1 0 +10 10
2 Fenerbahce 4 2 2 0 +2 8
3 Karagumruk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
4 Galatasaray 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Erzurumspor 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Antalyaspor 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Hatayspor 4 2 1 1 -3 7
8 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +4 6
9 Kasimpasa 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Kayserispor 4 2 0 2 -2 6
11 Konyaspor 3 1 2 0 +3 5
12 Trabzonspor 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Sivasspor 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Genclerbirligi 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Besiktas 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 1 1 2 -4 4
17 Gaziantep 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Rizespor 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Denizlispor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
20 Ankaragücü 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Buyuksehyr 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rizespor Ankaragücü
6′
J. Paintsil 0–1
S. Lobzhanidze
16′
J. Paintsil 0–2
1–2 Fernando
A. Durak
19′
38′
🟨 Alper Potuk
43′
T. Børven 1–3
Tiago Pinto
45′
🟨 Alper Potuk
45′
🟥 Alper Potuk
Half-time 2–3
2–3 Rick Boldrin
46′
M. Škoda 🔁
↦ G. Donsah
46′
46′
🔁 Z. Šarlija
↦ J. Paintsil
51′
ℹ️ Stelios Kitsiou
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
🟨 Zvonimir Šarlija
Loïc Rémy ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
54′
3–3 L. Rémy
55′
4–3 L. Rémy
62′
67′
🔁 E. Güral
↦ M. Pazdan
67′
🔁 E. Çekiçi
↦ Ş. Çetin
İ. Köybaşı 🔁
↦ D. Melnjak
70′
K. Michalak 🔁
↦ Fernando
70′
74′
🔁 L. Adžić
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
5–3 L. Rémy
Fabricio Baiano
78′
81′
🟨 Torgeir Børven
D. Jovančić 🔁
↦ Fabricio Baiano
81′
T. Torun 🔁
↦ L. Rémy
83′
87′
🔁 A. Çankaya
↦ I. Voca
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Rizespor

4-1-4-1
25 G. Akkan G
55 M. Moroziuk D
24 E. Dilaver D
53 D. Melnjak D
80 Y. Meriah D
5 A. Durak M
10 Rick Boldrin M
8 Fabricio Baiano M
23 G. Donsah M
7 L. Rémy F
37 Fernando M
Bench (10)
21 M. Škoda
13 İ. Köybaşı
17 K. Michalak
19 D. Jovančić
11 T. Torun
6 Y. Pehlivan
54 M. Pala
1 T. Çetin
9 K. Rüzgar
15 S. Ay

Coach: S. Tomas

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
2 M. Pazdan D
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
4 E. Dikmen D
20 A. Potuk M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
42 I. Voca M
18 Ş. Çetin M
22 T. Børven F
28 J. Paintsil M
Bench (10)
50 Z. Šarlija
77 E. Güral
88 E. Çekiçi
7 L. Adžić
6 A. Çankaya
35 D. Łukasik
1 K. Çelikay
21 B. Gürbüz
19 C. Karayel
89 A. Turan

Coach: F. Çapa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,33
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Abdulkadir Bitigen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.