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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Sp Braga

S U T S T

0–1

Full-time

Santa Clara

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

22 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 0

5 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Braga 13. · Santa Clara 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
7	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.