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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Reims

T T T T U

1–3

Full-time

Lorient

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reims 19. · Lorient 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+13	15
2	Rennes	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Lille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Lens	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Montpellier	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Nice	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Marseille	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Brest	6	3	0	3	-2	9
12	Angers	6	3	0	3	-7	9
13	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Lyon	6	1	4	1	+2	7
15	Metz	6	2	1	3	+0	7
16	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Lorient	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Strasbourg	6	1	0	5	-9	3
19	Reims	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Dijon	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Bordeaux	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Metz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Brest	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Nice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
13	Lyon	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Marseille	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Lens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Monaco	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-7	3
13	Lyon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Reims	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.