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Primeira Liga
Referee: Carlos Xistra
Sp Braga
S S S U T
4–2
Full-time
Nacional
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Nacional
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%
21 Shots 16
11 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. May -17 Sp Braga – Nacional 4–0 7. Jan -17 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–0 17. Jan -16 Nacional – Sp Braga 2–3 16. Aug -15 Sp Braga – Nacional 2–1

Match report

Sp Braga Nacional
1–0 Dyego Sousa ⚽
Fransérgio
4′
15′
🟨 Mauro Cerqueira
23′
⚽ B. Rochez 1–1
2–1 Dyego Sousa ⚽
32′
37′
⚽ B. Rochez 2–2
Diogo Coelho
43′
🟨 Jota
Half-time 3–2
3–2 Ricardo Horta ⚽
Dyego Sousa
48′
João Novais 🔁
↦ Eduardo
61′
65′
🔁 K. Gorré
↦ Witi
66′
🔁 B. Riascos
↦ B. Rochez
Wilson Eduardo 🔁
↦ Claudemir
69′
Diogo Figueiras 🟨
71′
4–2 Ricardo Horta ⚽
Diogo Figueiras
72′
Bruno Xadas 🔁
↦ Dyego Sousa
73′
77′
🔁 Diego Barcelos
↦ João Camacho
81′
🟨 Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
34 Raúl Silva D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
2 Diogo Figueiras D
5 Sequeira D
36 Bruno Vianna D
25 Claudemir M
27 Fransérgio M
11 Eduardo M
21 Ricardo Horta M
99 Dyego Sousa F
Bench (7)
17 João Novais
7 Wilson Eduardo
10 Bruno Xadas
8 Ricardo
12 Tiago Sá
14 Pablo
87 Marcelo Goiano

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Nacional

4-4-2
13 Daniel G
4 Diogo Coelho D
2 Nuno Campos D
5 Mauro Cerqueira D
3 Arthur Henrique D
80 Vítor Gonçalves M
8 Jota M
6 A. Alhassan M
35 B. Rochez F
19 João Camacho M
23 Witi M
Bench (7)
11 K. Gorré
18 B. Riascos
10 Diego Barcelos
22 Kalindi
1 O. Framelin
21 S. Marakis
37 Felipe Lopes

Coach: Costinha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos Xistra · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.