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Super League

Referee: A Jaccottet

Vaduz

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Lugano

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vaduz Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

40%

83%

Both score Ø 62%

40%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,4

2,3

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Super League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

5 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vaduz 9. · Lugano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	Lausanne	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Lugano	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Basel	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Servette	3	1	0	2	-1	3
7	Sion	3	0	2	1	-1	2
8	Luzern	3	0	1	2	-2	1
9	Vaduz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
10	Zurich	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lausanne	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Young Boys	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Basel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lugano	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Servette	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Luzern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Zurich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sion	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Vaduz	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Lausanne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Lugano	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Young Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Vaduz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
6	Sion	2	0	1	1	-1	1
7	Basel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Luzern	2	0	0	2	-2	0
9	Servette	2	0	0	2	-2	0
10	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.