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La Liga
Referee: César Soto
Getafe
T S U S T
1–0
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 10. · Barcelona 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 3 1 1 +3 10
2 Cadiz 6 3 1 2 +0 10
3 Granada 5 3 1 1 -1 10
4 Betis 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +7 8
6 Sociedad 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 -1 8
8 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +7 7
9 Sevilla 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Getafe 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Valencia 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Osasuna 4 2 0 2 +1 6
13 Celta 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 Eibar 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Huesca 5 0 4 1 -2 4
16 Elche 3 1 1 1 -2 4
17 Alaves 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Levante 4 1 0 3 -3 3
19 Ath Bilbao 4 1 0 3 -3 3
20 Valladolid 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Barcelona
23′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
Jaime Mata 🟨
27′
Erick Cabaco 🟨
28′
41′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Mata
56′
62′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ O. Dembélé
62′
🔁 Philippe Coutinho
↦ Pedri
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ Mata
71′
Allan Nyom 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 M. Braithwaite
↦ F. de Jong
80′
🔁 Trincão
↦ A. Griezmann
87′
🔁 Riqui Puig
↦ Sergi Roberto
Timor 🔁
↦ J. Hernández
89′
Mathias Olivera 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Sergiño Dest
Víctor Mollejo 🔁
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
12 A. Nyom M
22 D. Suárez D
2 D. Dakonam D
3 E. Cabaco D
15 Cucurella M
17 M. Olivera D
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
18 M. Arambarri M
7 Mata F
23 J. Hernández F
Bench (9)
10 E. Ünal
24 Timor
26 Víctor Mollejo
14 A. Palaversa
4 Etxeita
8 Portillo
1 Rubén Yáñez
6 Chema Rodríguez
9 Ángel

Coach: José Bordalás

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 Neto G
3 Piqué D
20 Sergi Roberto D
15 C. Lenglet D
2 S. Dest D
5 Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
10 L. Messi M
7 A. Griezmann F
11 O. Dembélé M
16 Pedri M
Bench (12)
22 Ansu Fati
14 Philippe Coutinho
9 M. Braithwaite
17 Trincão
12 Riqui Puig
24 Junior Firpo
6 Carles Aleñá
28 Óscar Mingueza
36 Arnau Tenas
26 Iñaki Peña
4 R. Araújo
8 M. Pjanić

Coach: R. Koeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,88
U
3,70
B
1,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.