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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Middlesbrough
S T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Reading
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 10. · Reading 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Reading 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Swansea 4 3 1 0 +4 10
5 Watford 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Luton 4 3 0 1 +3 9
7 Blackburn 4 2 1 1 +8 7
8 Birmingham 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 QPR 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Rotherham 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Millwall 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Stoke 4 1 2 1 -1 5
15 Preston 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Brentford 4 1 1 2 +0 4
17 Norwich 4 1 1 2 -1 4
18 Cardiff 4 1 1 2 -1 4
19 Coventry 4 1 1 2 -2 4
20 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 -3 4
21 Derby 5 1 0 4 -7 3
22 Barnsley 4 0 1 3 -4 1
23 Nott'm Forest 4 0 0 4 -6 0
24 Wycombe 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Reading
Half-time 0–0
M. Johnson 🔁
↦ B. Assombalonga
46′
47′
🟨 Liam Moore
69′
🔁 Alfa Semedo
↦ Lucas João
72′
🟨 Omar Richards
Sam Morsy 🟨
75′
76′
🟨 Thomas Holmes
76′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ Y. Meïté
Paddy McNair 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 S. Aluko
↦ M. Olise
D. Spence 🔁
↦ M. Tavernier
82′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-1-4-2
1 M. Bettinelli G
27 M. Bola M
16 J. Howson M
5 Sam Morsy M
17 P. McNair D
22 G. Saville M
6 D. Fry D
7 M. Tavernier M
2 A. Dijksteel D
9 B. Assombalonga F
10 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
3 M. Johnson
29 D. Spence
33 H. Coulson
12 M. Browne
15 N. Wood-Gordon
32 D. Stojanovic
19 P. Roberts

Coach: N. Warnock

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
3 O. Richards D
29 T. Holmes D
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
11 Y. Meïté M
Bench (7)
30 Alfa Semedo
47 G. Puşcaş
24 S. Aluko
15 L. Gibson
22 L. Southwood
5 T. Mcintyre
2 Tomás Esteves

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,18
U ✓
3,22
B
3,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.