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Super League

Referee: D Karantonis

Aris Thessalonikis

U S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Apollon

S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Apollon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

33%

25%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Super League · 4/2 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

1,8

0,5

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

6 Shots 2

3 Shots on target 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 2. · Apollon 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Aris Thessalonikis	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Volos NFC	6	3	1	2	+2	10
4	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	AEK	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Atromitos	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	OFI Crete	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Apollon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Giannina	4	0	3	1	-1	3
12	Panetolikos	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Larisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-3	1
15	Lamia	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Aris	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Olympiakos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Volos NFC	4	1	1	2	-1	4
6	AEK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Asteras Tripolis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Apollon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Atromitos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	OFI Crete	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Larisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Giannina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Panetolikos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Lamia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Panathinaikos	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Aris Thessalonikis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Aris	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	AEK	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	OFI Crete	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Atromitos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Giannina	3	0	2	1	-1	2
8	Olympiakos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	PAOK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Panathinaikos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Panetolikos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Apollon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Larisa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Lamia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.