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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Sp Lisbon

U U T S S

2–2

Full-time

Porto

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

4,3

Scored

0,8

3,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,7

Scored

2,0

3,3

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 20

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Porto 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Maritimo	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Gil Vicente	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Nacional	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Rio Ave	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
16	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Farense	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
14	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.