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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Tondela

U T S U S

1–3

Full-time

Guimaraes

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 65%

50%

80%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

51% Possession 49%

5 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tondela 6. · Guimaraes 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+12	15
3	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Boavista	6	2	4	0	+2	10
6	Tondela	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Sp Lisbon	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Santa Clara	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Setubal	6	1	4	1	-3	7
11	Gil Vicente	7	1	4	2	-4	7
12	Guimaraes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
14	Portimonense	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Aves	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Gil Vicente	5	1	4	0	+1	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Moreirense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Setubal	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Guimaraes	3	1	2	0	+4	5
8	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Tondela	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Lisbon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Portimonense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Aves	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.