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Super League

Referee: S Stegemann

Panathinaikos

U T T T

1–1

Full-time

Olympiakos

S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+2,3

This season — Super League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,3

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,5

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 14. · Olympiakos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	5	4	0	1	-1	12
2	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Olympiakos	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	AEK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Xanthi	4	3	0	1	+0	9
6	OFI Crete	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Aris	4	1	2	1	+3	5
8	Aris Thessalonikis	4	1	2	1	+3	5
9	Larisa	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Panionios	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Lamia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Atromitos	4	0	2	2	-2	2
14	Panathinaikos	4	0	1	3	-10	1
15	Panetolikos	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	3	3	0	0	+3	9
2	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Olympiakos	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Aris	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Larisa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	OFI Crete	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	AEK	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Xanthi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lamia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Asteras Tripolis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Panionios	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Panetolikos	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Panathinaikos	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Xanthi	3	2	0	1	-1	6
3	OFI Crete	4	1	2	1	+1	5
4	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Volos NFC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
7	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
8	Aris	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Aris Thessalonikis	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Panionios	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Larisa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Panathinaikos	3	0	1	2	-8	1
13	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Lamia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Panetolikos	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.