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Super League
PAOK
S S S
2–2
Full-time
Aris
U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

8 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 3
22 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 7
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Aris 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 -1 12
2 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 PAOK 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 AEK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Xanthi 4 3 0 1 +0 9
6 OFI Crete 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Aris 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Aris Thessalonikis 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Larisa 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 0 3 -2 3
12 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -2 2
13 Lamia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Panathinaikos 4 0 1 3 -10 1
15 Panetolikos 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,44
U ✓
4,01
B
7,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.