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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
S T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Hearts
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
2,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
2,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 10. · Hearts 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 +17 18
2 Rangers 6 5 0 1 +11 15
3 Aberdeen 6 3 2 1 +5 11
4 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 +2 10
5 Ross County 6 3 1 2 -1 10
6 Livingston 6 2 2 2 +0 8
7 Kilmarnock 6 2 1 3 -2 7
8 Hamilton 6 1 2 3 -4 5
9 St Mirren 6 1 1 4 -3 4
10 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -9 4
11 ST Johnstone 6 0 3 3 -12 3
12 Hearts 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Hearts
25′
🟨 Glenn Whelan
Daryl Horgan 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Mallan
J. Vela
47′
62′
🔁 C. Morrison
↦ S. Clare
66′
🔁 A. Irving
↦ L. Damour
70′
U. Ikpeazu 1–1
C. Berra
G. Middleton 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
77′
84′
A. Hickey 1–2
U. Ikpeazu
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ D. Horgan
85′
89′
🔁 C. Dikamona
↦ M. Smith
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
28 C. Maxwell G
16 L. Stevenson D
4 P. Hanlon D
21 J. Naismith D
25 R. Porteous D
7 D. Horgan M
23 S. Allan M
6 J. Vela M
20 M. Hallberg D
14 S. Mallan M
22 F. Kamberi F
Bench (7)
19 G. Middleton
9 C. Doidge
17 T. James
18 A. Jackson
11 J. Newell
1 O. Marciano
32 O. Shaw

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Hearts

3-4-2-1
23 Joel Castro G
6 C. Berra D
2 M. Smith D
26 C. Halkett D
51 A. Hickey D
12 G. Whelan M
22 L. Damour M
11 J. Mulraney M
8 S. Clare M
19 U. Ikpeazu F
77 R. Meshino F
Bench (7)
38 C. Morrison
40 A. Irving
28 C. Dikamona
35 A. Keena
18 S. MacLean
7 O. Bozanić
13 C. Doyle

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
3,34
B ✓
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.