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2. Bundesliga

Osnabruck

S S T S T

1–1

Full-time

St Pauli

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 8

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Osnabruck 9. · St Pauli 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	7	5	2	0	+6	17
2	Bielefeld	7	4	3	0	+9	15
3	Hamburg	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	Heidenheim	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Sandhausen	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Erzgebirge Aue	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Greuther Furth	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Osnabruck	6	3	0	3	+4	9
10	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Regensburg	6	2	1	3	+3	7
14	Dresden	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Darmstadt	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Holstein Kiel	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Bochum	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	Wehen	7	0	1	6	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Erzgebirge Aue	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Sandhausen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Osnabruck	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	St Pauli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Greuther Furth	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Bielefeld	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Darmstadt	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	-3	5
14	Dresden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Bochum	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Regensburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Hannover	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Wehen	4	0	0	4	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Hamburg	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Hannover	4	2	0	2	+0	6
4	Stuttgart	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Osnabruck	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	St Pauli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Dresden	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Wehen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bochum	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Darmstadt	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Holstein Kiel	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.