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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Atalanta

U S S T S

2–2

Full-time

Fiorentina

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 8. · Fiorentina 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Roma	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Bologna	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+3	6
7	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Torino	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Spal	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Lecce	4	1	0	3	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
7	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Spal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.