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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
Larisa
U T T
3–0
Full-time
Xanthi
S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larisa Xanthi
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Super League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Larisa 13. · Xanthi 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 -1 12
2 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 PAOK 3 3 0 0 +3 9
4 AEK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Xanthi 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 OFI Crete 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Aris 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Aris Thessalonikis 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 0 3 -2 3
11 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -2 2
12 Lamia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Larisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
14 Panathinaikos 4 0 1 3 -10 1
15 Panetolikos 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Larisa Xanthi
Alexis Michael 🟨
20′
31′
🟨 Christos Lisgaras
33′
🟨 Eduardo
0–1 M. Terki ⚽
own goal
35′
36′
🔁 V. Rennella
↦ Eduardo
45′
🟨 Jean Barrientos
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Milosavljević ⚽
M. Nunič
53′
54′
🔁 J. Faucher
↦ J. Barrientos
60′
🟨 Christos Lisgaras
60′
🟥 Christos Lisgaras
61′
🔁 S. Malezas
↦ P. Đuričković
M. Bertos 🔁
↦ N. Karanikas
62′
F. Andoni 🔁
↦ R. Milosavljević
75′
Vaggelīs Moras 🟨
81′
2–1 M. Bertos ⚽
A. Šećerović
83′
B. Chalkiadakis 🔁
↦ E. Kaçe
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Larisa

3-5-2
1 Ö. Kristinsson G
18 V. Moras D
5 A. Michail D
20 N. Karanikas D
88 N. Stanković D
28 S. Bralić D
26 E. Kaçe M
7 Amr Warda F
22 A. Šećerović M
8 R. Milosavljević M
33 M. Nunič F
Bench (7)
25 M. Bertos
64 F. Andoni
12 B. Chalkiadakis
99 B. Ristić
9 A. Dauda
39 A. Gojković
32 J. Bustos

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Xanthi

4-2-3-1
92 Vitor São Bento G
2 M. Dyrestam D
4 A. Karasalidis D
31 C. Lisgaras D
25 L. Sosa M
3 J. Barrientos M
28 M. Terki F
12 Eduardo
7 Sturgeon M
10 P. Đuričković M
9 A. Kovačević M
Bench (7)
88 V. Rennella
11 J. Faucher
23 S. Malezas
75 T. Moulin
1 Carlos Abad
91 William
8 K. Camara

Coach: Kiko Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
2,97
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,44
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.