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Superligaen
Nordsjaelland
U S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Aalborg
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
78%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Nordsjaelland 7. · Aalborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 9 8 1 0 +12 25
2 FC Copenhagen 9 7 0 2 +8 21
3 Aarhus 10 5 2 3 +7 17
4 Brondby 9 5 1 3 +4 16
5 Odense 10 4 2 4 +3 14
6 Aalborg 9 4 1 4 +5 13
7 Nordsjaelland 9 4 1 4 +1 13
8 Sonderjyske 10 2 6 2 +1 12
9 Hobro 10 2 6 2 -1 12
10 Randers FC 9 3 2 4 +2 11
11 Horsens 9 3 1 5 -9 10
12 Lyngby 9 3 0 6 -8 9
13 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 -11 5
14 Silkeborg 9 0 3 6 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.