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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Tromso
T U S U T
0–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
62%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 12. · Stromsgodset 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 21 14 4 3 +29 46
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 13 4 4 +16 43
3 Odd 21 11 5 5 +6 38
4 Rosenborg 21 10 6 5 +8 36
5 Brann 22 9 6 7 +5 33
6 Kristiansund 21 9 5 7 +5 32
7 Viking 21 8 6 7 +1 30
8 Haugesund 22 6 9 7 +4 27
9 Valerenga 21 7 6 8 +3 27
10 Lillestrom 21 7 4 10 -8 25
11 Stabaek 21 6 6 9 -5 24
12 Tromso 21 6 4 11 -18 22
13 Mjondalen 21 4 9 8 -10 21
14 Sarpsborg 08 21 3 10 8 -6 19
15 Ranheim 21 5 4 12 -14 19
16 Stromsgodset 21 5 4 12 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Stromsgodset
28′
🟨 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
Half-time 0–0
Runar Espejord 🔁
↦ Magnus Andersen
59′
Onni Valakari 🟨
61′
Daniel Berntsen 🔁
↦ Aidan Barlow
78′
78′
🔁 Johan Hove
↦ Kristoffer Tokstad
Kent-Are Antonsen 🟨
84′
86′
Mikkel Maigaard 0–1
88′
🔁 Mustapha Fofana
↦ Moses Dramwi Mawa
90′
🟨 Lars Christopher Vilsvik
Brayan Rojas 🔁
↦ Morten Gamst Pedersen
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
28 Jakob Karlstrom G
26 Jostein Gundersen D
22 Simen Wangberg D
3 Kent-Are Antonsen D
15 Magnus Andersen M
23 Eric Smith M
7 Morten Gamst Pedersen M
25 Lasse Nilsen M
20 Aidan Barlow F
11 Robert Taylor F
18 Onni Valakari F
Bench (7)
1 Gudmund Kongshavn
5 Anders Jenssen
6 Juha Pirinen
2 Artem Sokol
17 Daniel Berntsen
9 Brayan Rojas
30 Runar Espejord

Coach: S. Valakari

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
35 Martin Hansen G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
4 Duplexe Tchamba D
22 Prosper Mendy D
7 Herman Stengel M
42 Jack Ipalibo M
20 Mikkel Maigaard M
11 Kristoffer Tokstad F
88 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen F
10 Moses Dramwi Mawa F
Bench (7)
1 Viljar Myhra
3 Jonathan Parr
2 Mounir Hamoud
39 Lars Saetra
6 Henning Hauger
8 Johan Hove
56 Mustapha Fofana

Coach: H. Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.