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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Bologna

U S U S S

1–2

Full-time

Roma

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,7

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

4,7

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 3. · Roma 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Torino	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Roma	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Spal	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Lecce	3	1	0	2	-4	3
19	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Spal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.