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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Rennes
S S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Lille
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 4. · Lille 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 5 4 0 1 +9 12
2 Nice 6 4 0 2 +2 12
3 Marseille 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Rennes 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Nantes 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 Bordeaux 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Lille 5 3 0 2 +2 9
8 Angers 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Lyon 5 2 2 1 +8 8
10 Reims 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +0 8
13 Toulouse 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Amiens 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Brest 6 1 4 1 -2 7
16 Strasbourg 6 1 3 2 -2 6
17 St Etienne 5 1 2 2 -3 5
18 Metz 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Monaco 6 0 3 3 -7 3
20 Dijon 6 0 1 5 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Lille
Raphinha 🟨
5′
10′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
Edouard Mendy 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
46′
J. Ikoné 0–1
V. Osimhen
63′
🔁 Renato Sanches
↦ B. Soumaré
J. Lea Siliki 🔁
↦ F. Tait
64′
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
64′
1–1 A. Hunou
H. Traoré
68′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
77′
86′
🔁 Y. Yazıcı
↦ J. Ikoné
91′
🔁 D. Bradarić
↦ Luiz Araujo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
16 E. Mendy G
15 J. Morel D
27 H. Traoré D
26 J. Gelin D
21 J. Gnagnon D
20 F. Tait M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
18 E. Camavinga M
11 M. Niang F
22 R. Del Castillo F
7 Raphinha M
Bench (7)
12 J. Lea Siliki
23 A. Hunou
28 J. Martin
17 F. Maouassa
8 C. Grenier
9 T. Siebatcheu
1 R. Salin

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
17 M. Çelik D
4 Gabriel D
21 B. André M
10 J. Ikoné M
24 B. Soumaré M
11 Luiz Araujo M
14 J. Bamba M
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
18 Renato Sanches
12 Y. Yazıcı
29 D. Bradarić
8 Xeka
9 L. Rémy
1 Léo Jardim
5 A. Soumaoro

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,09
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.