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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

M'gladbach

T U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 18

11 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 9

10 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 8. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+12	11
3	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Schalke 04	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+8	9
7	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	M'gladbach	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Werder Bremen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Union Berlin	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	FC Koln	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-10	3
18	Paderborn	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	2	1	0	+9	7
2	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Hertha	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Union Berlin	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Paderborn	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Schalke 04	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Hoffenheim	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Augsburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.