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Primeira Liga
Setubal
U T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Portimonense
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Setubal Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 19%
20%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
1,0
2,6
Scored
0,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 2
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Setubal 12. · Portimonense 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 6 5 0 1 +13 15
2 Benfica 6 5 0 1 +12 15
3 Famalicao 5 4 1 0 +6 13
4 Rio Ave 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Boavista 6 2 4 0 +2 10
6 Tondela 6 2 3 1 +2 9
7 Sp Lisbon 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Santa Clara 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Moreirense 7 2 2 3 -1 8
10 Gil Vicente 7 1 4 2 -4 7
11 Guimaraes 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Setubal 5 1 3 1 -3 6
13 Vitoria Setubal 5 1 3 1 -3 6
14 Belenenses 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Portimonense 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Maritimo 5 1 1 3 -4 4
17 Sp Braga 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Pacos Ferreira 6 1 1 4 -8 4
19 Aves 6 1 0 5 -9 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U ✓
3,08
B
2,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.