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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Lazio

U T S U T

2–0

Full-time

Parma

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

22 Shots 3

15 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 12. · Parma 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Roma	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Bologna	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	+2	6
9	Torino	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Milan	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Lazio	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Spal	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Lecce	4	1	0	3	-7	3
19	Sampdoria	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Roma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cagliari	3	1	0	2	+0	3
7	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Roma	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Parma	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Verona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Spal	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.