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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Rio Ave

T S T S S

1–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

6 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 8

0 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 7. · Guimaraes 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	4	0	1	+12	12
2	Famalicao	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Tondela	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Gil Vicente	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Sp Braga	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Aves	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-4	3
17	Guimaraes	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sp Braga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.