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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
PAOK
S S S U
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Super League · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

8 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match PAOK 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Volos NFC 5 4 0 1 -1 12
2 PAOK 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Olympiakos 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 AEK 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Xanthi 4 3 0 1 +0 9
6 OFI Crete 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Aris 4 1 2 1 +3 5
8 Aris Thessalonikis 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Larisa 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Panionios 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 0 3 -2 3
12 Atromitos 4 0 2 2 -2 2
13 Lamia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Panathinaikos 4 0 1 3 -10 1
15 Panetolikos 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Aris Thessalonikis
4′
B. Ideye 0–1
I. Fetfatzidis
1–1 Léo Matos
J. Mišić
6′
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ D. Pelkas
15′
19′
🟨 Nicolas Diguiny
Léo Matos 🟨
29′
Chuba Akpom 🟨
30′
38′
🟨 Lucas Sasha
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 F. Ehmann
↦ Julián
O. El Kaddouri 🔁
↦ Léo Jabá
58′
Josip Mišić 🟨
61′
64′
🟨 Bruno Gama
65′
🔁 D. Larsson
↦ Bruno Gama
Léo Matos 🟨
67′
Léo Matos 🟥
67′
K. Świderski 🔁
↦ C. Akpom
70′
71′
🟨 Lucas Sasha
71′
🟥 Lucas Sasha
78′
🟨 Brown Ideye
84′
🟨 Daniel Sundgren
87′
🔁 Hugo Sousa
↦ I. Fetfatzidis
88′
Matilla 1–2
89′
🟨 Javier Matilla
2–2 J. Mišić
Douglas
99′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
31 A. Paschalakis G
3 Léo Matos D
15 José Crespo D
5 Fernando Varela D
23 D. Giannoulis D
21 D. Biseswar M
27 J. Mišić M
10 D. Pelkas M
33 Douglas M
47 C. Akpom F
98 Léo Jabá M
Bench (7)
18 D. Limnios
7 O. El Kaddouri
9 K. Świderski
4 S. Ingason
88 Ž. Živković
99 M. Stoch
24 A. Esiti

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
21 D. Sundgren M
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
44 Fran Vélez D
16 Bruno Gama M
7 N. Diguiny F
26 Matilla M
28 I. Fetfatzidis M
88 Lucas Sasha M
11 B. Ideye F
Bench (7)
1 F. Ehmann
10 D. Larsson
3 Hugo Sousa
5 G. Delizisis
19 M. Tonso
18 N. Martínez
8 L. Duarte

Coach: A. Terzis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.