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Allsvenskan
Elfsborg
T S S U U
0–3
Full-time
Malmo FF
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 44%
30%
57%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
52%
39%
Both score Ø 57%
65%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Elfsborg 9. · Malmo FF 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Djurgarden 24 16 5 3 +29 53
2 AIK 24 15 4 5 +17 49
3 Malmo FF 23 13 8 2 +27 47
4 Hammarby 24 14 5 5 +24 47
5 Hacken 24 13 5 6 +18 44
6 Goteborg 24 12 8 4 +14 44
7 Norrkoping 24 12 7 5 +20 43
8 Orebro 24 8 5 11 -4 29
9 Elfsborg 23 7 8 8 -6 29
10 Sirius 24 6 4 14 -16 22
11 Kalmar 24 4 10 10 -16 22
12 Ostersunds 24 4 9 11 -17 21
13 Helsingborg 23 5 6 12 -17 21
14 Falkenbergs 24 4 7 13 -28 19
15 AFC Eskilstuna 23 3 6 14 -26 15
16 Sundsvall 24 2 7 15 -19 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -19 Malmo FF – Elfsborg 4–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.