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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Twente
T T S T T
0–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,5
3,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
7,0
Scored
0,0
6,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 1,72
50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 13. · PSV Eindhoven 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Nijmegen 2 2 0 0 +8 +3.2 6
2 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.6 6
3 Zwolle 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.2 6
4 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.5 4
5 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +5 +0.5 3
6 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.5 3
7 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +3 +0.1 3
8 Groningen 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.4 3
9 Go Ahead Eagles 2 0 2 0 +0 -2.3 2
10 For Sittard 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
11 Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.7 1
12 Heerenveen 2 0 1 1 -1 +2.1 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.3 0
14 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -2 -2.2 0
15 Telstar 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.9 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -5 -0.5 0
17 Excelsior 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.9 0
18 Heracles 2 0 0 2 -7 -3.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente PSV Eindhoven
7′
M. Bruns 1–0
own goal
22′
🔁 G. Til
↦ A. Plea
27′
🟨 Jerdy Schouten
Robin Pröpper 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–1
54′
J. Schouten 1–1
Mauro Junior
60′
🟨 Ryan Flamingo
T. van den Belt 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
63′
N. Unuvar 🔁
↦ T. Booth
63′
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink 🔁
↦ K. Hlynsson
71′
A. Verschueren 🔁
↦ D. Rots
72′
74′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ R. van Bommel
74′
🔁 K. Sildillia
↦ Mauro Junior
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
38 M. Bruns D
3 R. Propper D
39 M. Rots D
6 R. Zerrouki M
4 M. Kjolo M
11 D. Rots M
14 K. Hlynsson M
8 T. Booth M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (10)
21 S. Karssies
5 B. Kuipers
23 S. Lemkin
12 G. Peixoto
22 P. Tyton
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
32 A. Verschueren
20 T. van den Belt
37 N. Unuvar

Coach: John van den Brom

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
32 M. Kovar G
8 S. Dest D
6 R. Flamingo D
3 Y. Gasiorowski D
17 Mauro Junior D
34 I. Saibari M
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
5 I. Perisic F
14 A. Plea F
7 R. van Bommel F
Bench (11)
19 E. Bajraktarevic
11 C. Driouech
28 T. Land
27 D. Man
39 A. Nagalo
4 A. Obispo
1 N. Olij
24 N. Schiks
25 K. Sildillia
20 G. Til
35 J. van den Berg

Coach: Peter Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,76
U
4,69
B ✓
1,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,32
U2,5 ✓
3,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.