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Eredivisie

Referee: A Bos

Waalwijk

S T T T T

1–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

3,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

6,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,82 xG 1,39

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 10

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 14. · AZ Alkmaar 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
3	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	-1.3	6
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.3	4
5	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
7	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	-1	-3.5	3
10	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.4	3
11	Heracles	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.7	3
12	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Nijmegen	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.5	0
14	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.0	0
16	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
17	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.2	0
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
3	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.9	3
4	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
5	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.0	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
8	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
9	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
10	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
11	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
12	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
17	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.2	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.4	3
4	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
7	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
9	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
13	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.0	0
14	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
15	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
16	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.