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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muniz Ruiz
Barcelona
T T S T U
2–0
Full-time
Cadiz
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,48 xG 1,15
75% Possession 25%
23 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 12. · Cadiz 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.2 6
2 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.4 6
3 Girona 2 1 1 0 +3 +0.9 4
4 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
5 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.7 3
6 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
7 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.4 3
8 Ath Bilbao 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
9 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.3 3
10 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.4 3
11 Sociedad 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.6 2
12 Barcelona 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.9 1
13 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.7 1
14 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
15 Celta 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.4 1
16 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -3 -1.6 1
17 Sevilla 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
18 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
19 Granada 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
20 Almeria 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Cadiz
14′
🟨 Iván Alejo
Marc-André ter Stegen 🟨
26′
Frenkie de Jong 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Fede San Emeterio
Gavi 🟨
51′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ Gavi
68′
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Alejandro Baldé
68′
68′
🔁 Darwin Machís
↦ Iván Alejo
68′
🔁 Rubén Sobrino
↦ Fede San Emeterio
Pedri 🟨
73′
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ Oriol Romeu
79′
Eric García 🔁
↦ Andreas Christensen
79′
1–0 Pedri
İlkay Gündoğan
82′
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ Lamine Yamal
85′
86′
🔁 Milutin Osmajić
↦ Chris Ramos
86′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ Álex Fernández
86′
🔁 José Mari
↦ Roger Martí
93′
🟨 Javier Hernández
2–0 Ferran Torres
Robert Lewandowski
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

3-4-2-1
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
23 Jules Koundé D
15 Andreas Christensen D
21 Frenkie de Jong D
27 Lamine Yamal M
18 Oriol Romeu M
22 İlkay Gündoğan M
28 Alejandro Baldé M
6 Gavi F
8 Pedri F
9 Robert Lewandowski F
Bench (9)
16 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
10 Ansu Fati
20 Sergi Roberto
24 Eric García
7 Ferran Torres
26 Ander Astralaga
31 Diego Kochen
32 Fermín López
30 Marc Casadó

Coach: Xavi

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali D
15 Javier Hernández D
11 Iván Alejo M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
24 Fede San Emeterio M
16 Chris Ramos M
8 Álex Fernández F
21 Roger Martí F
Bench (11)
7 Rubén Sobrino
18 Darwin Machís
6 José Mari
12 Milutin Osmajić
9 Álvaro Negredo
13 David Gil
14 Mamadou Mbaye
2 Joseba Zaldúa
33 Lucas Pires
28 Álvaro Bastida
27 Jose Antonio de la Rosa

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
6,70
B
14,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Muniz Ruiz · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.