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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

Club Brugge

T S S S S

7–1

Full-time

RWD Molenbeek

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge RWD Molenbeek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,17 xG 0,88

56% Possession 44%

23 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · RWD Molenbeek 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+6	+5.5	7
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.2	6
3	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.6	6
4	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
5	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-1.5	6
6	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	-0.0	4
7	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+3	-1.0	4
8	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
9	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-4	-4.7	4
10	St Truiden	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
11	Charleroi	4	0	3	1	-2	-3.4	3
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.0	2
13	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.9	1
14	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-4.0	1
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-8	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
3	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.3	3
4	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
5	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
7	Charleroi	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
8	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
10	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
11	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.2	1
12	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
13	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
15	Standard	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.2	6
2	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
5	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
9	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
10	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
12	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.3	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-4	+1.1	1
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.