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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Klitte

Elfsborg

U S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Mjallby

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 55%

68%

42%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

53%

37%

Both score Ø 34%

42%

26%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,04 xG 0,68

41% Possession 59%

15 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 2. · Mjallby 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	20	14	2	4	+28	+0.4	44
2	Elfsborg	19	13	3	3	+26	+5.8	42
3	Malmo FF	20	13	3	4	+25	+4.7	42
4	Djurgarden	20	10	4	6	+3	-1.9	34
5	Norrkoping	19	9	4	6	+8	+6.9	31
6	Mjallby	19	8	4	7	+1	-5.4	28
7	Hammarby	19	8	4	7	-2	+1.4	28
8	Brommapojkarna	20	8	2	10	-6	-0.3	26
9	Kalmar	19	7	5	7	-6	-3.0	26
10	Varnamo	20	8	1	11	-2	+2.2	25
11	Halmstad	20	7	4	9	-15	-3.6	25
12	Sirius	20	5	5	10	-5	+1.7	20
13	Degerfors	20	6	2	12	-23	-2.6	20
14	Goteborg	20	4	7	9	-5	-2.7	19
15	AIK	19	4	7	8	-5	-1.2	19
16	Varberg	20	2	5	13	-22	-2.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	11	10	0	1	+23	+0.5	30
2	Malmo FF	11	8	2	1	+20	+2.1	26
3	Djurgarden	10	8	1	1	+9	-1.6	25
4	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+8	+1.5	22
5	Elfsborg	9	6	2	1	+16	+1.4	20
6	Kalmar	9	5	2	2	+1	-1.3	17
7	Norrkoping	9	4	2	3	+3	+2.5	14
8	Degerfors	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.4	14
9	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-1	-0.9	13
10	Goteborg	10	3	3	4	+5	-0.9	12
11	Mjallby	10	3	3	4	+1	-5.7	12
12	Halmstad	10	3	3	4	-6	-2.2	12
13	Sirius	10	3	1	6	-1	+2.8	10
14	Varnamo	9	3	0	6	-3	+1.3	9
15	AIK	9	1	5	3	-3	-0.9	8
16	Varberg	10	0	3	7	-18	-0.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	10	7	1	2	+10	+4.3	22
2	Norrkoping	10	5	2	3	+5	+4.4	17
3	Malmo FF	9	5	1	3	+5	+2.5	16
4	Varnamo	11	5	1	5	+1	+0.9	16
5	Mjallby	9	5	1	3	+0	+0.3	16
6	Hacken	9	4	2	3	+5	-0.2	14
7	Brommapojkarna	10	4	1	5	-5	+0.7	13
8	Halmstad	10	4	1	5	-9	-1.4	13
9	AIK	10	3	2	5	-2	-0.3	11
10	Sirius	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.1	10
11	Djurgarden	10	2	3	5	-6	-0.3	9
12	Kalmar	10	2	3	5	-7	-1.6	9
13	Varberg	10	2	2	6	-4	-1.6	8
14	Goteborg	10	1	4	5	-10	-1.8	7
15	Hammarby	10	1	3	6	-10	-0.2	6
16	Degerfors	9	2	0	7	-20	-3.0	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.