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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
AZ Alkmaar
S T S T S
5–1
Full-time
Go Ahead Eagles
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,16 xG 0,59
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Jan -23 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 1–4 7. Aug -22 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 13. Feb -22 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 1–4 26. Sep -21 AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 13. Jan -17 Go Ahead Eagles – AZ Alkmaar 1–3

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Go Ahead Eagles
2′
🟨 Jamal Amofa
1–0 J. Clasie ⚽
R. van Bommel
4′
2–0 V. Pavlidis ⚽
Y. Sugawara
15′
Dani de Wit 🟨
17′
34′
🟨 Gerrit Nauber
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Kramer
↦ J. Amofa
46′
🔁 E. Llansana
↦ X. Blomme
46′
🔁 O. Edvardsen
↦ B. Adekanye
3–0 R. van Bommel ⚽
V. Pavlidis
51′
E. Poku 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
61′
Alexandre Penetra 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
62′
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ R. van Bommel
62′
Pantelis Hatzidiakos 🟨
65′
66′
⚽ P. Rommens 3–1
68′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ J. Breum
Ernest Poku ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
86′
🟨 Mats Deijl
4–1 D. de Wit ⚽
87′
88′
🔁 E. Linthorst
↦ P. Rommens
D. Mihailović 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
89′
K. Goudmijn 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
89′
5–1 M. Lahdo ⚽
E. Poku
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
16 S. Mijnans M
7 J. Odgaard M
10 D. de Wit M
15 R. van Bommel M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (8)
21 E. Poku
5 Alexandre Penetra
23 M. Lahdo
14 D. Mihailović
28 K. Goudmijn
54 D. Deen
30 D. Kasius
12 H. Verhulst

Coach: P. Jansen

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
20 X. Blomme M
10 P. Rommens M
11 B. Adekanye M
18 W. Willumsson M
29 J. Breum M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (11)
4 J. Kramer
21 E. Llansana
23 O. Edvardsen
19 S. Sow
8 E. Linthorst
32 T. Baeten
28 P. Saathof
17 Darío Serra
22 E. Mulder
15 D. James
30 S. Jansen

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,36
🔒
U
5,03
🔒
B
8,25
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
U2,5
2,31
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.