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Allsvenskan
Referee: V Wolf
Malmo FF
T U S S T
0–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 61%
68%
53%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
68%
47%
Both score Ø 42%
37%
47%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,88 xG 0,58
66% Possession 34%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 3. · Djurgarden 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Elfsborg 19 13 3 3 +26 +5.8 42
2 Hacken 19 13 2 4 +27 -0.1 41
3 Malmo FF 19 13 2 4 +25 +4.4 41
4 Djurgarden 19 10 3 6 +3 -1.6 33
5 Norrkoping 19 9 4 6 +8 +6.9 31
6 Mjallby 19 8 4 7 +1 -5.4 28
7 Hammarby 19 8 4 7 -2 +1.4 28
8 Brommapojkarna 20 8 2 10 -6 -0.3 26
9 Kalmar 19 7 5 7 -6 -3.0 26
10 Varnamo 20 8 1 11 -2 +2.2 25
11 Halmstad 20 7 4 9 -15 -3.6 25
12 Sirius 19 5 5 9 -4 +2.2 20
13 Degerfors 20 6 2 12 -23 -2.6 20
14 Goteborg 20 4 7 9 -5 -2.7 19
15 AIK 19 4 7 8 -5 -1.2 19
16 Varberg 20 2 5 13 -22 -2.3 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Djurgarden
Busanello 🟨
38′
40′
🟨 Hampus Finndell
Half-time 0–0
67′
🟨 Magnus Eriksson
67′
🔁
↦ G. Wikheim
67′
🔁 N. Milleskog
↦ M. Qurbanlı
71′
🟨 Piotr Johansson
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ I. Kiese Thelin
72′
S. Vecchia 🔁
↦ S. Jørgensen
72′
80′
🔁 B. Šabović
↦ H. Finndell
Søren Rieks 🟨
81′
Lasse Nielsen 🟨
83′
91′
🔁 J. Löfgren
↦ P. Johansson
91′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ S. Dahl
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ S. Peña
92′
H. Bolin 🔁
↦ T. Ali
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-2-3-1
27 J. Dahlin G
24 L. Nielsen D
18 P. Jansson D
19 D. Cornelius D
25 Busanello D
23 L. Johnsen M
8 S. Peña M
14 S. Jørgensen M
11 S. Nanasi M
22 T. Ali M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (9)
5 S. Rieks
21 S. Vecchia
38 H. Bolin
6 O. Lewicki
4 N. Moisander
13 M. Olsson
41 A. Skogmar
15 J. Ceesay
30 I. Diawara

Coach: H. Rydström

Djurgarden

4-1-4-1
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
27 J. Une-Larsson D
3 M. Danielson D
26 S. Dahl D
6 R. Schüller M
9 H. Radetinac M
13 H. Finndell M
7 M. Eriksson M
23 G. Wikheim M
22 M. Qurbanlı F
Bench (9)
18
29 N. Milleskog
14 B. Šabović
4 J. Löfgren
16 R. Kaib
11 O. Berg
17 Carlos Moros
30 T. Vaiho
10 J. Asoro

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

V Wolf · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.