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Conference League
Referee: H Nalbandyan
AZ Alkmaar
T S T S S
2–0
Full-time
FC Santa Coloma
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar FC Santa Coloma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 54%
67%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
67%
20%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
100%
40%
Points per game
3,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 10%
0%
20%
Both score Ø 10%
0%
20%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Aug -23 FC Santa Coloma – AZ Alkmaar 0–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar FC Santa Coloma
1–0 R. van Bommel ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–0
Sven Mijnans 🟨
46′
Jordy Clasie 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 Moisés San Nicolás
↦ Mario Mourelo
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ J. Odgaard
62′
Alexandre Penetra 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
62′
Dani de Wit 🟨
66′
E. Poku 🔁
↦ R. van Bommel
70′
D. Mihailović 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
70′
70′
🔁 Marc Nierga
↦ Iván Garrido
D. Kasius 🔁
↦ D. Møller Wolfe
77′
78′
🟨 Daniel Toribio
2–0 M. Lahdo ⚽
78′
80′
🔁 David Virgili
↦ C. Novoa
80′
🔁 Guillem Jiménez
↦ Miguel López
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
25 R. Bazoer D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
10 D. de Wit M
16 S. Mijnans M
7 J. Odgaard F
9 V. Pavlidis F
15 R. van Bommel F
Bench (10)
23 M. Lahdo
5 Alexandre Penetra
21 E. Poku
14 D. Mihailović
30 D. Kasius
31 D. Deen
12 H. Verhulst
44 D. Kwakman
22 M. Dekker
28 K. Goudmijn

Coach: P. Jansen

FC Santa Coloma

4-5-1
1 Josep Gómes G
26 A. Markovych D
3 Gerard Gómez D
15 Sergio Rodríguez D
22 David Crespo D
19 Iván Garrido M
18 Miguel López M
6 Daniel Toribio M
30 Eloy Gila M
32 Mario Mourelo M
24 C. Novoa F
Bench (6)
20 Moisés San Nicolás
9 Marc Nierga
11 David Virgili
17 Guillem Jiménez
13 Adrià Collet
2 Robert Ramos

Coach: D. Cheryshev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.