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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Waalwijk

T S T T T

1–3

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

40%

70%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,4

3,5

Scored

0,9

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 14. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	30	24	4	2	+68	76
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	19	7	4	+35	64
3	AZ Alkmaar	30	18	7	5	+26	61
4	Vitesse	30	17	6	7	+18	57
5	Feyenoord	28	15	8	5	+29	53
6	Utrecht	28	12	9	7	+10	45
7	Groningen	29	13	6	10	+1	45
8	Heracles	31	12	6	13	-6	42
9	For Sittard	31	12	4	15	-6	40
10	Twente	31	9	10	12	-2	37
11	Heerenveen	30	9	10	11	-3	37
12	Sparta Rotterdam	29	10	6	13	-4	36
13	Zwolle	30	8	11	11	-6	35
14	Waalwijk	30	6	8	16	-18	26
15	Willem II	30	6	7	17	-29	25
16	FC Emmen	30	5	9	16	-26	24
17	VVV Venlo	31	6	4	21	-42	22
18	Den Haag	30	2	10	18	-45	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+33	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	2	1	+24	38
3	Vitesse	15	10	4	1	+15	34
4	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	2	3	+15	32
5	Feyenoord	13	8	4	1	+22	28
6	Heracles	16	8	3	5	+13	27
7	Groningen	15	7	5	3	+5	26
8	Heerenveen	15	6	4	5	+5	22
9	Zwolle	15	5	6	4	+1	21
10	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	For Sittard	16	5	2	9	-6	17
13	Willem II	15	5	2	8	-10	17
14	Waalwijk	15	4	4	7	-3	16
15	Twente	15	3	5	7	-3	14
16	FC Emmen	15	3	4	8	-13	13
17	VVV Venlo	15	3	3	9	-22	12
18	Den Haag	15	0	6	9	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+35	38
2	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+9	25
5	Feyenoord	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Vitesse	15	7	2	6	+3	23
7	Twente	16	6	5	5	+1	23
8	For Sittard	15	7	2	6	+0	23
9	Groningen	14	6	1	7	-4	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Heerenveen	15	3	6	6	-8	15
12	Heracles	15	4	3	8	-19	15
13	Zwolle	15	3	5	7	-7	14
14	FC Emmen	15	2	5	8	-13	11
15	Waalwijk	15	2	4	9	-15	10
16	VVV Venlo	16	3	1	12	-20	10
17	Den Haag	15	2	4	9	-26	10
18	Willem II	15	1	5	9	-19	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.