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Eliteserien
Referee: D Higraff
Tromso
U T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
65%
24%
Points per game
2,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,40 xG 1,94
49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 3. · Sandefjord 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 18 13 2 3 +24 +6.8 41
2 Viking 18 13 2 3 +17 +2.6 41
3 Tromso 17 11 3 3 +11 +1.4 36
4 Molde 19 10 4 5 +20 +8.5 34
5 Brann 18 9 3 6 +7 -2.9 30
6 Lillestrom 18 9 2 7 +5 +4.2 29
7 Sarpsborg 08 19 8 3 8 +0 +1.2 27
8 Odd 19 7 4 8 -1 +0.5 25
9 Rosenborg 18 7 4 7 -2 +1.3 25
10 Stromsgodset 18 7 2 9 -1 -3.9 23
11 Haugesund 18 5 4 9 -9 -2.7 19
12 Ham-Kam 18 6 1 11 -17 -6.3 19
13 Sandefjord 17 4 5 8 -8 -9.9 17
14 Valerenga 18 4 4 10 -8 -2.6 16
15 Stabaek 17 4 4 9 -12 +0.8 16
16 Aalesund 18 3 1 14 -26 +0.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Sandefjord
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 D. Al-Saed
↦ J. Dunsby
65′
🔁 Féderico Bikoro
↦ S. Mørk
66′
🔁 A. Tveter
↦ F. Nyenetue
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ E. Diouf
69′
J. Romsaas 🔁
↦ A. Jenssen
69′
1–0 J. Romsaas
R. Jenssen
85′
M. Koskela 🔁
↦ S. Opsahl
87′
R. Norheim 🔁
↦ V. Erlien
88′
88′
🔁 Y. Chaib
↦ A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
89′
🔁 K. Ayer
↦ G. Koomson
Jostein Gundersen 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
1 J. Haugaard G
4 J. Gundersen D
20 C. Øyvann D
5 A. Jenssen D
19 N. Vesterlund M
11 R. Jenssen M
22 S. Opsahl M
26 E. Diouf M
17 Y. Paintsil F
15 V. Erlien F
8 K. Antonsen F
Bench (9)
18 L. Nordås
10 J. Romsaas
16 M. Koskela
23 R. Norheim
28 C. Psyché
12 S. Thomas
7 F. Winther
14 T. Norbye
3 J. Robertsen

Coach: G. Helstrup

Sandefjord

4-3-3
1 H. Keto G
2 F. Pålerud D
15 J. Taaje D
17 S. Foss D
3 V. Egeli D
6 S. Mørk M
18 F. Ottosson M
8 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson M
7 G. Koomson F
20 F. Nyenetue F
27 J. Dunsby F
Bench (7)
14 D. Al-Saed
5 Féderico Bikoro
9 A. Tveter
11 Y. Chaib
23 K. Ayer
19 F. Berglie
12 M. Viken

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higraff · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.