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Serie B
Referee: M Piccinini
Sudtirol
T S S T U
3–3
Full-time
Spezia
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sudtirol Spezia
8′
⚽ L. Moro 0–1
F. Bandinelli
30′
🟨 Lukas Mühl
1–1 D. Casiraghi ⚽
32′
36′
⚽ A. Reca 1–2
D. Nikolaou
Half-time 1–2
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ A. Giorgini
46′
J. Broh 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
46′
46′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ T. Cipot
Luca Ghiringhelli 🟨
48′
2–2 D. Casiraghi ⚽
50′
58′
🔁 R. Kouda
↦ S. Żurkowski
58′
🔁 S. Bastoni
↦ L. Mühl
62′
⚽ L. Moro 2–3
R. Kouda
68′
🔁 F. Cassata
↦ A. Reca
69′
🟨 Dimitris Nikolaou
L. Lonardi 🔁
↦ L. Ghiringhelli
77′
A. Cisco 🔁
↦ M. Rover
77′
Andrea Masiello 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 F. Esposito
↦ L. Moro
Raphael Odogwu 🟨
86′
E. Pecorino 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
86′
92′
🟨 Mirko Antonucci
3–3 R. Odogwu ⚽
93′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-4-2-1
1 G. Poluzzi G
30 A. Giorgini D
14 G. Cuomo D
55 A. Masiello D
6 L. Ghiringhelli M
21 F. Tait M
28 R. Kofler M
24 S. Davì M
17 D. Casiraghi F
18 M. Rover F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
33 S. Merkaj
15 J. Broh
77 L. Lonardi
26 A. Cisco
9 E. Pecorino
27 C. Shiba
5 K. Vinetot
11 R. Ciervo
3 A. Cagnano
12 G. Drago
22 S. Dregan
23 N. Rauti

Coach: P. Bisoli

Spezia

4-3-3
69 B. Drągowski G
27 K. Amian D
23 L. Mühl D
43 D. Nikolaou D
13 A. Reca D
17 S. Żurkowski M
10 S. Esposito M
25 F. Bandinelli M
11 T. Cipot F
24 L. Moro F
48 M. Antonucci F
Bench (12)
8 A. Ekdal
80 R. Kouda
20 S. Bastoni
29 F. Cassata
9 F. Esposito
19 R. Krollis
15 N. Pietra
77 N. Bertola
40 P. Zovko
1 J. Zoet
4 João Moutinho
99 D. Verde

Coach: M. Alvini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
🔒
U ✓
3,03
🔒
B
2,24
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,40
🔒
U2,5
1,54
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.