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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Ein Frankfurt

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Darmstadt

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,51 xG 0,54

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.3	3
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.4	3
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
5	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
6	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
7	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
10	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
13	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0
16	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.3	3
2	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.4	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
8	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
4	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
5	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
6	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
7	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.4	0
8	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.